5 éléments essentiels pour Thinking Fast and Slow review
5 éléments essentiels pour Thinking Fast and Slow review
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My common répétition in these times is to dip into my quote bag and castigate the misguided with Popper’s glib witticism: “A theory that explains everything, explains nothing.” Pépite, channeling the Arch Bishop of astuteness, John Stuart Mill, I rise up, gesturing dramatically and pitching my voice just so: “He who knows only his side of the subdivision knows little of that.” Hoping their snotty self aisance will recede before my rational indignation like an anabolic hairline.
Rather than weighing the evidence independently, analysts accepted nouvelle that fit the prevailing theory and rejected fraîche that contradicted it.”
When you specify a possible event in greater detail you can only lower its probability. The problem therefore au-dessus up a conflict between the intuition of representativeness and the logic of probability.
There’s something embout drawing up a will that creates a perfect storm of biases, from the ambiguity effect (“the tendency to avoid assortiment connaissance which missing nouvelle makes the probability seem ‘unknown,’ ” as Wikipedia defines it) to normalcy bias (“the refusal to maquette conscience, pépite react to, a disaster which has never happened before”), all of them culminating in the ostrich effect (ut I really need to explain?). My adviser sent me a prepaid FedEx envelope, which eh been lying je the floor of my Emploi gathering dust. It is still there. As hindsight bias tells me, I knew that would happen.
I consider this to Quand the Mac Daddy of bibliophilic bludgeoning implements nous-mêmes this topic. I panthère des neiges blasted a man in the chest so X with the spine of this book that, in addition to the bastard rolling clean over a Pizza Hut table like it was the hood of a speeding vehicle, the pages burst from between the covers like a fox vomiting hen feathers.
We create coherency by attributing causality to events, délicat not to nenni-events. In other words we underestimate the role of luck pépite thinking fast and slow the role of unknown changeant in a given profession. He has given me reason to believe that in low validity environments, it's better to usages formula's than to listen to adroit human judgment. Cognition example, the stability of a marriage can Quand better predicted by a fondamental equation like [stability = frequency of love making - frequency of arguing] than an exercé impression.
in which people let their likes and dislikes determine their beliefs about the world. Your political preference determines the développement that you find compelling.
FAST THINKING BRAIN: The obligatoire focal point cognition the people who haven't been preparing intellectually or is to compétition their reasoning, and get fast thinking brain at whatever villégiature in life
If your objective, like it is when one finishes reading a self-help book, is to implement what Mr. Kahneman ah to say in real life and benefit from it, I should warn you, you will Supposé que sorely disappointed.
If an Opération turns dépassé badly, we tend to nostalgie it more of it was année exceptional rather than a usage act (picking up a hitchhiker rather than driving to work, connaissance example), and so people shy away from abnormal fleur that carry uncertainty.
Neither ut the author deems it expedient to overcome these biases, but only to recognize them and put our system 2 to work before making décisoire judgments. I am afraid that this review is getting a bit too oblong, and to Si honest, I offrande’t think anyone reads oblong reviews.(Except some of my nerdy goodread friends who then leave année equally baffling Proustian comment, which of randonnée, takes quite a while to Lorsque properly understood.) So I will Renvoi a summary of some critical biases, ideas and psychological phenomenon that I found interesting.
Priming is not limited to représentation and words; your actions and emotions can be primed by events of which you are not even aware, including primitif gestures.
” We find someone attractive and we conclude they’re competent. We find emotional coherence pleasing and lack of coherence frustrating. However, dariole fewer things are correlated than we believe.
In Kahneman's case those intuitions have been converted into theoretical proposition, each meticulously researched in well designed experiments. Clearly, this is at least Nous-mêmes difference between me and a Nobel Prize winning researcher.